In addition to having to deal with their head case running back Larry Johnson, the Kansas City Chiefs (1-6 SU, 2-5 ATS, 3-2-2 O/U) have a plethora of on-field problems in head coach Todd Haley’s first season.
The Jacksonville Jaguars (3-4 SU, 3-4 ATS, 4-3 O/U) have also taken quite a few steps backwards under longtime head coach Jack Del Rio in the last couple of seasons.Now, both struggling teams will be trying to pick up a much-needed win when they take to the gridiron at Jacksonville Municipal Stadium on Sunday at 1 PM ET.
The Jaguars allowed the Tennessee Titans to win their first game of the season in Week 8 just as As per my Prediction, falling 30-13 and failing to cover the NFL point spread as a 3-point road underdog while the game’s 43 combined points played Under the 44-point O/U total.
Maurice Jones-Drew rushed for 177 yards with two touchdowns on eight carries for Jacksonville but quarterback David Garrard struggled in the loss, throwing for just 139 yards with two interceptions.
Here is a look at tonight’s key trends and NFL Betting Odds, followed by my in-depth analysis and expert Free NFL Football Picks.
* Chiefs are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. loss.
* Chiefs are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
* Chiefs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC.
* Jaguars are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 vs. AFC.
* Jaguars are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
* Jaguars are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite.
* Under is 5- 2 in the last 7 meetings.
* Chiefs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Jacksonville -6½ -110
Over/Under 42 -110
Analysis: I’m not real impressed with the Jacksonville Jaguars this season – and they’ve recorded some atrocious ATS wagering stats coming into this matchup but I do like them to handle the lowly Chiefs in this game, particularly playing at home.
The Jags have alternated wins and losses in each of the last four weeks, making them due for a victory this week following their bad loss to Tennessee last week.
While Jacksonville has gone just 1-4 ATS against a team with a losing record and a shocking 0-7 ATS in their last seven games as a home favorite, the Chiefs have been even worse when it comes to cashing in for pro football betting enthusiasts recently.
The Chiefs have gone 2-6 ATS in their last eight games following an SU loss and just 2-7 ATS in their last nine games overall.
Kansas City Chief has also gone a pitiful 0-5 ATS in their last five games against AFC opponents and are averaging just 15.0 points per game this season, not to mention the fact that they’ve been man-handled by the Jaguars on a pretty regular basis the last few seasons, going a discouraging 2-5 ATS in their last seven meetings against Jacksonville.
With both teams averaging less than 20 points per contest this season and the Under going 5- 2 in the last seven meetings, I like the Under to cash in as well in this contest.
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