NFL Week 10 Power Rating Picks

It's time and here are NFL Power Rating Picks—Week 10 , each week when the engine that cranks the power rating machine turns out a play, the point-spread and home field advantage have both been accounted for.

Following are NFL Power Rating Picks for Week 10:
Side plays were a bust last week but our play on the Monday Night Football game to stay "Under" was a winner and the overall record for the season, including early week and late-plays moved to 24-19 (56 percent). This week we have six plays to consider, including four bets on the Over/Under.

1. Buffalo at Tennessee "Over" 41 : Titans started this season 0-6 SU, took a bye and then came back with a dominant home effort versus Jacksonville. A win at San Francisco has provided some momentum but with a defense ranked last in points allowed, expect both teams to put up some numbers before this game is final.

2. Philadelphia at San Diego "Over" 47 : Philly is 5-0 O/U as an underdog of plus two points or less since October 2003 and four of those overs were in road games. The two most-recent road games were both non-Conference (BAL, KC). RB Westbrook is expected to start. These teams fit into the same power rating profile as the Bills and Titans.

3. Dallas at Green Bay "Under" 48 : The Packers proved unpredictable when they fell to the Buccaneers in Week Nine, but this week, back at home, should get a better effort from the defense. The Cowboys have won three-straight ATS and with a divisional game on-deck (WSH), play-calling should be conservative—a la Wade Phillips.

4. New England, plus three : It’s not surprising that the ratings pointed towards a play on the Patriots considering how high they score on power ranking boards across the nation.Tom Brady getting points is never a bad option.

5. New England at Indianapolis "Over" 48 : Indy’s defense has allowed just one team to score more than 17 points this season (MIA, Wk Two). If there were ever a time for a second, it’s now.
This is the Colts’ third SNF game of the season and fourth prime-time game. Indianapolis is 3-0 SU/ATS through the first three night games and 1-2 O/U but the Colts offense has averaged just a hair less than 30 ppg. It’s the first of the four marquee game Indy gets to play at home.

6. Baltimore -10.5 : The Browns have ratcheted themselves down considerably this year and part of that lies in the hands of management. The rest is on the field and against a Ravens team under the gun to produce wins. It’s hard to see Cleveland keeping pace—no matter who starts at QB.